INTRODUCTION
The Freedonia Group Incorporated is a leading international industry study/database company. Since 1985, Freedonia has published more than 2,000 titles covering areas such as building materials, chemicals, communications, health care, packaging, pharmaceuticals, plastics, security and many other industries. Studies cover entire industry sectors as well as key niche markets. Each study includes such valuable intelligence as growth markets and products, market share, product analyses and forecasts, market analyses and forecasts, and company profiles.
This study analyzes the world market for light hybrid-electric vehicles (HEVs). Historical data are provided for 1998 and 2003, with forecasts provided to 2008, 2013 and 2020. Data are presented for world sales of HEVs by type (full hybrid and mild hybrid) and by segment (passenger car and light truck). Estimates are also provided for HEV production, and HEV component sales. Data is provided by geographical region, including North America, Western Europe, the Asia/Pacific region and other regions of the world. Within each regional section, vehicle production and demand figures are presented for key nations. Vehicle demand and production are presented in thousands of vehicles, and components are presented in dollars. The entire study is framed within the overall industry's economic and market environment.
Throughout the study, data are related to indicators in the tables. This is done for comparative purposes and to facilitate further analysis. Details in the tables may not add to totals due to independent rounding, and calculated ratios may reflect unrounded numbers. Macroeconomic and demographic indicators in this study were obtained from The Freedonia Group Consensus Forecasts dated June 2004. Motor vehicle indicators presented in this study were obtained from The Freedonia Group Consensus Forecasts dated August 2004. Studies on related topics published by The Freedonia Group include #1841 Automotive Aftermarket in North America (10/2004), #1831 World Batteries (9/2004), #1777 OEM Automotive Electronics in North America (2/2004), #1726 World Motorcycles (9/2003), #1674 World Automotive Aftermarket (5/2003), #1667 World Fuel Cells (5/2003), and #1617 Hybrids & Competing Automotive Powerplants (11/2002).
Information and data on HEVs were obtained from a variety of sources including government and trade associations, industry participants, online databases and other Freedonia studies. Primary information was gathered through consultations with officers and marketing/technical personnel of participating companies and other industry specialists. Secondary data and background information were obtained from various trade publications, including Automotive Engineering, Automotive Industries, Automotive News and Ward’s Automotive, among others, as well as online database searches. Corporate annual reports, SEC Form 10-K filings, product catalogs and other company information were also used extensively in framing the industry and market environments and as inputs for market size assessments.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
SECTION PAGE
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT
General
World Economic Overview
World Population Overview
Households Per Region
World Light Vehicle Overview
Light Vehicle Production
Light Vehicle Sales
Automotive Components Industry Trends
Environmental & Regulatory Factors
Pricing Trends
III. TECHNOLOGY
General
Transition to Fuel Cells
Well-to-Wheels Efficiency & Pollution Comparisons
Hybrid-Electric ICE Powerplants
Series Hybrid
Parallel Hybrid
Mild Hybrid
Advantages of the Hybrid-Electric ICE Powertrain
Hybrid-Electric ICE Commercialization Issues
Heat Management
Power Control Systems
Field Service
Battery Life
Internal Combustion Engines
Spark Ignition Internal Combustion Engines
Diesel Internal Combustion Engines
Fuel Cells
Energy Storage Technologies
IV. COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS
General
Competitive Assessment
Technology Readiness
S-Curve Headroom
Internal Combustion Engines
Hybrid-Electric ICEs
Fuel Cells
Electric Vehicles
Regulatory Compliance
Emissions Compliance
Fuel Efficiency Compliance
Safety Compliance
Infrastructure Readiness
Fueling Infrastructure
Service Infrastructure
Consumer Price/Benefits
Industry Focus
Technology Penetration Profiles
Market Pull
Regulatory Push
Rapid Penetration
Niche
Market Assessment
Automatic Transmissions
Power Steering
Air Conditioning
Antilock Brake Systems
Penetration Summary
Penetration Analysis for HEVs
V. WORLD OVERVIEW
General
Supply & Demand Trends
Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Region
Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region
Light Hybrid-Electric Components Demand by Region
Foreign Trade
VI. NORTH AMERICA
North America: General
North America: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type
North America: Light HEV Supply by Country
North America: Light HEV Component Demand
United States
Canada
Mexico
VII. WESTERN EUROPE
Western Europe: General
Western Europe: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type
Western Europe: Light HEV Supply by Country
Western Europe: Light HEV Component Demand
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Other Western Europe
VIII. ASIA/PACIFIC
Asia/Pacific: General
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Supply by Country
Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Component Demand
Japan
China
South Korea
Other Asia/Pacific
IX. OTHER REGIONS
Other Regions: General
Other Regions: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type
Other Regions: Light HEV Supply by Region
Other Regions: Light HEV Component Demand
Latin America
Eastern Europe
Africa/Mideast
X. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
General
Industry Composition & Market Share
Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring
Research & Product Development
Manufacturing
Marketing
Distribution
Financial Issues & Requirements
Strategic Partnerships
Company Profiles
AeroVironment Incorporated
AC Propulsion Incorporated
Aisin Seiki Company Limited
Alcatel
Ballard Power Systems Incorporated 216
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
Bosch (Robert) GmbH
Continental AG
DaimlerChrysler AG
Delphi Corporation
DENSO Corporation
Eaton Corporation
Exide Technologies
Ford Motor Company
Freescale Semiconductor Incorporated
General Motors Corporation
GS Yuasa Corporation
Hino Motors Limited, see Toyota Motor Corporation
Honda Motor Company Limited
Hyundai Motor Company
iPower Technologies Incorporated, see AeroVironment Incorporated
Japan Storage Battery Company Limited, see GS Yuasa Corporation
Matsushita Electric Industrial Company Limited
Mazda Motor Corporation
Motorola Incorporated
Nissan Motor Company Limited
Panasonic EV Energy Company Limited, see Matsushita
Electric Industrial Company Limited and Toyota
Motor Corporation
Peugeot SA
Saft
SANYO Electric Company Limited
Siemens AG
Toyota Motor Corporation
Valeo SA
Volkswagen AG
Other Companies Mentioned in Study
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE NUMBER PAGE
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region
2 World Population by Region
3 World Households by Region
4 World Light Vehicle Production
5 World Light Vehicle Sales
6 World Automotive Components Demand
SECTION V -- WORLD OVERVIEW
1 World Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
2 World Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Region
3 World Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region
4 Hybrid-Electric Components Demand by Region
SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
2 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type
3 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Production by Country
4 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand
5 United States Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
6 Canada Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
7 Mexico Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
2 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type
3 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Country
4 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand
5 Germany Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
6 France Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
7 United Kingdom Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
8 Italy Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
9 Other Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
2 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type
3 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Country
4 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand
5 Japan Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
6 China Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
7 South Korea Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
8 Other Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
SECTION IX -- OTHER REGIONS
1 Other Regions Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
2 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type
3 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region
4 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand
5 Latin America Macroeconomic Indicators & LightHybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
6 Eastern Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
7 Africa/Mideast Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand
SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Selected Cooperative Agreements
LIST OF CHARTS
CHART NUMBER PAGE
SECTION III -- TECHNOLOGY
1 Conceptual Technology Migration Profile: ICE to Fuel Cell
SECTION IV -- COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS
1 Options for Improving Light Vehicle Fuel Efficiency
2 Honda Civic Hybrid Breakeven Versus Civic ICE LX Model, US Market Example, 2004 Data
3 Probable HEV Market Penetration Profile
4 Alternative Powerplant Forces at Work
5 Light Vehicle Powerplant Technology Assessment
6 Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2003-2005 Model Year
7 HEV Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2003-2005 Model Year
8 Categorizing Technology Penetration Curves
9 Framework for Assessing Automotive Technology Penetration
10 Automatic Transmission Penetration at Retail Price Analysis
11 Power Steering Penetration at Retail Price Analysis
12 Air Conditioning Penetration at Retail Price Analysis
13 Antilock Brake System Penetration at Retail Price Analysis
14 Summary of Technology Penetration Profiles US Example
15 Estimated Full Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Option Pricing Trend
SECTION V -- WORLD OVERVIEW
1 World Light HEV Demand by Region, 2008-2020
SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, North America Through 2008
SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions,Western Europe Through 2008
SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions,Asia/Pacific Through 2008
SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Forecast World Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Market Share, 2008
2 Trigger Technology Definition -- Antilock Brake System Example
3 Hybrid Vehicle Technologies with Multiple Possible Applications