发布时间：2008.8

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摘要

Automobile sector plays a vital role in Turkey’s economy and it has taken an important place in the export mix from the country.  The automobile export in 2007 from Turkey was nearly 75% of its total auto production, a straight growth of 18% from the previous year. Increasing export volumes are making Turkey the next export hub for automobile, says the RNCOS research report – “Turkey Automobile Sector Forecast (2008-2012)”

The emergence of Turkey as an export center is attracting major players from across the world to invest in the auto sector. In fact, FDI inflow in the sector has been continuously increasing from past few years on account of Turkey’s strategic location and closeness with both European and the Middle East countries. Various automobile giants have made Turkey a gateway to enter the European auto markets and taking the benefits of government incentives.

The report studies the Turkish automobile market, comprising of passenger cars, commercial vehicles, tractors, and automotive component market, comprehensively. It also evaluates the export market and opportunities for the automobile industry and its associated industries.

Key Findings

§ Free Trade Zones (FTZs) are designed to encourage trade to and from Turkey, boosting the automobile sector in the country.
§ Passenger car segment has the largest share in all aspects of the automobile industry i.e. exports, production, imports, and sales.
§ Production of automobiles in Turkey grew by 11% in 2007 over 2006.
§ Automotive component production grew at a CAGR of 21.55% during 2003–2007; therefore, the annual automobile production is estimated to increase to 1.8 Million by 2012.
§ Exports by the Turkish automobile industry are projected to surge at a CAGR of 11.49% during 2008-2012.

Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

§ What are the driving factors for the Turkish automobile industry?
§ What are the trends in automobile component industry?
§ What are the opportunities for the automobile industry and its associated industries?
§ Which segment of the automobile sector holds major share?
§ What would be the projected growth of automobile industry in various aspects?
§ Who are the major players in the Turkish automobile industry in terms of production, exports and sales?

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
The information has been taken from authentic and reliable sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
Methods, like historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis, have been used for a prudent analysis.

目录及图表

1. Analyst View
2. Automobile Industry - Turkey vs European Countries
3. Why is Automobile Sector Performing Well?
     3.1 Booming Economy
     3.2 Government Initiatives & Incentives
     3.3 Location
     3.4 Production Cost
     3.5 Infrastructure
     3.6 Foreign Direct Investment
4. Turkey - Automobile Industry
     4.1 Domestic Market
            4.1.1 Production
            4.1.2 Sales
            4.1.3 Import
     4.2 Export Market
            4.2.1 By Volume
            4.2.2 By Value
            4.2.3 By Vehicle Type
            4.2.4 By Country
     4.3 Performance by Segment to 2012
            4.3.1 Passenger Cars
            4.3.2 Pick-up Trucks
            4.3.3 Buses
            4.3.4 Trucks
            4.3.5 Farm Tractors
5. Automotive Component Industry
     5.1 Domestic Market
            5.1.1 Production
            5.1.2 Demand
            5.1.3 Import
     5.2 Export Market
            5.2.1 Spare Parts & Accessories
            5.2.2 Tyres & Tubes
            5.2.3 Batteries
            5.2.4 Safety Glass
6. Industry Analysis
     6.1 Opportunities
            6.1.1 Component Manufacturers
            6.1.2 New Infrastructure Set-up
            6.1.3 Untapped Domestic Market
            6.1.4 Steel & Aluminium Industry
            6.1.5 Insurance Market
            6.1.6 Alternative Fuel Cars
     6.2 Roadblocks
            6.2.1 Steel Price
            6.2.2 Interest Rates
            6.2.3 Surging Oil Prices
7. Key Players
     7.1 Ford Motor Company
     7.2 Hyundai Motor Company
     7.3 Toyota
     7.4 Renault SA
     7.5 Tofas

List of Figures:

Figure 2-1: Turkey - Growth in Automobile Production w.r.t Leading European Countries (%), 2007
Figure 2-2: Turkey - Automotive Trade with EU (in Billion Euro), 2003, 2005 & 2007
Figure 3-1: Turkey - Labor Cost in Automotive Industry w.r.t Other Regions (in US$/Hour), 2004
Figure 3-2: Slovakia - Rating w.r.t Other European Countries on the Availability of Skilled Labor, 2007
Figure 4-1: Turkey - Automobile Production (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-2: Turkey - Automobile Production* Structure (%), 2007
Figure 4-3: Turkey - Share of Top 5 Players in Automobile Production* (%), 2007
Figure 4-4: Turkey - Forecast for Automobile Production** (in Million Units), 2008*-2012
Figure 4-5: Turkey - Automobile Retail Sales* (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-6: Turkey - Domestic Automobile Wholesales* (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-7: Turkey - Domestic Automobile Wholesales* Structure (%), 2007
Figure 4-8: Turkey - Share of Top 5 Players in Domestic Automobile Wholesales* (%), 2007
Figure 4-9: Turkey - Automobile Imports (in Billion US$), 2003-2007
Figure 4-10: Turkey - Automobile Imports (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-11: Turkey - Automobile Imports* Structure (%), 2007
Figure 4-12: Turkey - Automobile Exports* (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-13: Turkey - Automobile Exports (in Billion US$), 2003-2007
Figure 4-14: Turkey - Share of Top 5 Players in Automobile Exports* (%), 2007
Figure 4-15: Turkey - Automobile Exports* Structure (%), 2007
Figure 4-16: Turkey - Forecast for Automobile Exports (in Billion US$), 2008*-2012
Figure 4-17: Turkey - Passenger Cars Production (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-18: Turkey - Share of Players in Passenger Cars Production* (%), 2007
Figure 4-19: Turkey - Domestic Passenger Car Wholesales (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-20: Turkey - Passenger Car Exports (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-21: Turkey - Passenger Car Imports (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-22: Turkey - Forecast for Passenger Car Registrations (in ‘000 Units), 2008*-2012
Figure 4-23: Turkey - Forecast for Passenger Car Stock (per ‘000 Population), 2008*-2012
Figure 4-24: Turkey - Pick-up Trucks Production (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-25: Turkey - Share of Top 5 Players in Pick-up Trucks Production* (%), 2007
Figure 4-26: Turkey - Domestic Pick-up Truck Wholesales (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-27: Turkey - Pick-up Truck Exports (in ‘000 Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-28: Turkey - Buses Production by Body Type (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-29: Turkey - Share of Top 5 Players in Buses Production* (%), 2007
Figure 4-30: Turkey - Domestic Bus Wholesales by Body Type (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-31: Turkey - Bus Exports by Body Type (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-32: Turkey - Trucks Production (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-33: Turkey - Domestic Truck Wholesales (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-34: Turkey - Truck Exports (in Units), 2003-2007
Figure 4-35: Turkey - Farm Tractors Production (in Units), 2006 & 2007
Figure 4-36: Turkey - Farm Tractor Exports (in Units), 2006 & 2007
Figure 4-37: Turkey - Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Registrations (in ‘000 Units), 2008*-2012
Figure 5-1: Turkey - Automotive Components Production (in Million US$), 2003-2007E
Figure 5-2: Turkey - Automotive Components Demand (in Million US$), 2003-2007E
Figure 5-3: Turkey - Automotive Component Imports (in Million US$), 2003-2007E
Figure 5-4: Turkey - Automotive Component Exports (in Million US$), 2003-2007
Figure 5-5: Turkey - Automotive Component Exports by Segment (%), 2007
Figure 5-6: Turkey - Spare Parts & Accessories Exports (in Million US$), 2003-2007
Figure 5-7: Turkey - Tyres & Tubes Exports (in Million US$), 2003-2007
Figure 5-8: Turkey - Batteries Exports (in Million US$), 2003-2007
Figure 5-9: Turkey - Safety Glass Exports (in Million US$), 2003-2007
Figure 6-1: Turkey - Forecast for Premium from Passenger Cars Insurance (in Million US$), 2008*-2012
Figure 6-2: Turkey - LPG Powered Cars (in ‘000 Units), 2004, 2007 & 2008E
Figure 6-3: Global - Carbon Steel Price (in US$/Metric Ton), May 2007 & May 2008
Figure 6-4: Global - Crude Oil Price (in US$/Barrel), 2007-2009F

List of Table:

Table 3-1: Turkey - Population Breakup by Age-group (%), 2007
Table 3-2: Turkey - Transportation Infrastructure
Table 4-1: Turkey - Affordability Rank for Automobile
Table 4-2: Turkey - Automobile Exports by Country (in Million US$), Jan-May 2007 & Jan-May 2008
Table 6-1: Turkey & EU - Automotive Penetration (per ‘000 Population), June 2007
Table 7-1: Ford Motor Company - Strength & Weakness
Table 7-2: Hyundai Motor Company - Strength & Weakness
Table 7-3: Toyota - Strength & Weakness
Table 7-4: Renault SA - Strength & Weakness