发布时间：2008.7

摘要

This report analyses the future of solar power generation- It looks at the key technologies, and examines the efficiency and economics of the different solar power generation systems. It looks specifically at a range off issues affecting the costs, efficiency and take up of solar photovoltaic power generation and solar thermal power generation as well as a brief consideration of other and emerging solar generation technologies. Drawing on over 30 separate sources, the report analyses the most current thinking on solar power generation. It gives the most comprehensive view on the drivers and resistors of solar power capacity growth and its impact on the power generation landscape.

Additional Information

The management reports provide an in-depth and complete overview of each sector. By examining the topical issues and key market drivers, thes reports will equip you with the analysis and forecasting necessary to make the right decisions at the right time.

目录及图表

The Future of Solar Power

Executive summary

Introduction

The solar resource

Solar photovoltaic power generation

Solar thermal power generation

Other approaches to solar power generation

The economics of solar power generation

The prospects for solar power

Chapter 1 An introduction to solar power

Introduction

The report

Chapter 2 The solar resource

Introduction

Solar potential

Solar resource sites

Chapter 3 Solar photovoltaic power generation

Introduction

Solar cell basics

Energy levels and absorption

Types of solar cell

Different cell structures

Flat plate and concentrating cells

Solar photovoltaic systems

Building integrated photovoltaics

Energy storage

Photovoltaic environmental considerations

Solar photovoltaic production

Key manufacturers

Solar cell country markets

Utility photovoltaic systems

Costs

Chapter 4 Solar thermal power generation

Introduction

Solar thermal basics

Parabolic troughs

The SEGS parabolic trough plants

Modern parabolic trough power stations

Parabolic trough with direct steam generation

Hybrid parabolic trough - fossil fuel power plants

Solar towers

Current solar tower developments

Other solar tower projects

Advanced solar tower developments

Solar dishes

Solar dish projects

Solar dish developments

Solar thermal environmental considerations

Solar thermal costs

Chapter 5 Other approaches to solar power generation

Introduction

Solar ponds

Solar pond projects

Solar chimneys

Photoelectrolysis

Chapter 6 The economics of solar power generation

Introduction

Solar thermal power plant economics

Solar photovoltaic power plant economics

Comparative costs of utility plants

Chapter 7 The prospects for solar power

Introduction

Comparative costs of solar generation

Solar thermal markets

Solar photovoltaic markets

Conclusions

List of Figures

Figure 3.1: Semiconductor band gaps at 300ºK (27ºC)

Figure 3.2: Market share among thin film technologies, 2007

Figure 3.3: Energy payback for solar cells (years)

Figure 3.4: Annual solar cell production (MW) and cumulative global capacity (MW), 1999-2007

Figure 3.5: Solar cell production (MW) by country, 2006

Figure 3.6: Thin film solar cell production (MW) by country, 2006

Figure 3.7: Top ten solar cell manufacturers, 2006

Figure 3.8: Largest solar cell markets by country (Annual installation), 2006

Figure 3.9: Annual US photovoltaic module production costs ($/W), 1970-2006

Figure 4.10: Typical breakdown of investment in parabolic trough power plant (%)

Figure 4.11: Breakdown of costs for Solar Tres solar tower plant (%)

Figure 4.12: Breakdown of costs for a hypothetical 50MW solar dish power plant (%)

Figure 4.13: Land area for solar thermal power plants (Capacity v ha/MW)

Figure 4.14: Capital costs for solar thermal power plants (€/kW)

Figure 6.15: EU cost estimates for 50MW reference solar thermal power plants (€/kW), (€/MWh)

Figure 6.16: Solar thermal installed cost projections ($/kW), 2006-2010

Figure 6.17: Benchmark (2005) and projected solar photovoltaic installed cost ($/kW), 2005-2020

Figure 6.18: Solar plant levelized electricity costs ($/MWh), 2007

Figure 7.19: Instant installed costs for power generation technologies in California ($/kW), 2007

Figure 7.20: Levelized cost of electricity from new generation plants in California ($/MWh)

Figure 7.21: US DoE Solar Program cost targets ($/MWh), 2011 and 2020

Figure 7.22: Projections for peak demand growth in southwestern US states (MW), 2006 to 2015

List of Tables

Table 3.1: Semiconductor band gaps at 300ºK (27ºC)

Table 3.2: Market share among thin film technologies, 2007

Table 3.3: Energy payback for solar cells (years)

Table 3.4: Annual solar cell production (MW) and cumulative global capacity (MW), 1999-2007

Table 3.5: Solar cell production (MW) by country, 2006

Table 3.6: Thin film solar cell production (MW) by country, 2006

Table 3.7: Top ten solar cell manufacturers, 2006

Table 3.8: Largest solar cell markets by country (Annual installation (MW)), 2006

Table 3.9: Annual US photovoltaic module production costs ($/W), 1970-2006

Table 4.10: Typical breakdown of investment in parabolic trough power plant (%)

Table 4.11: Breakdown of costs for Solar Tres solar tower plant (%)

Table 4.12: Breakdown of costs for a hypothetical 50MW solar dish power plant (%)

Table 4.13: Land area for solar thermal power plants (Capacity v ha/MW)

Table 4.14: Capital costs for solar thermal power plants (€/kW)

Table 6.15: EU cost estimates for 50MW reference solar thermal power plants (€/kW), (€/MWh)

Table 6.16: Solar thermal installed cost projections ($/kW), 2006-2010

Table 6.17: Benchmark (2005) and projected solar photovoltaic installed cost ($/kW), 2005-2020

Table 6.18: Benchmark (2005) and projected solar photovoltaic electricity costs ($/MWh), 2005- 2020

Table 6.19: Solar plant installation costs ($/kW), 2007

Table 6.20: Solar plant operation and maintenance costs ($/kW), 2007

Table 6.21: Solar plant levelized electricity costs ($/MWh), 2007

Table 7.22: Instant installed costs for power generation technologies in California ($/kW), 2007

Table 7.23: Levelized cost of electricity from new generation plants in California ($/MWh)

Table 7.24: US DoE Solar Program cost targets ($/MWh), 2011 and 2020

Table 7.25: Projections for peak demand growth in southwestern US states (MW), 2006 to 2015