发布时间：2005.6

摘要

India is the fifth largest producer of eggs and ninth largest producer of poultry meat in the world, producing over 34 billion eggs and about 600,000 tons of poultry meat in 2004. In the overall market for poultry products, India was positioned 17 in World Poultry Production. And analysts estimate that the poultry sector in India has been growing at a much faster rate, along with other industries such as BPO and Securities market. Over the past decade the poultry industry in India has contributed approximately US $229million, to the Gross National Product (GNP).
 
Several breakthroughs in poultry science and technology have led to the development of genetically superior breeds capable of higher production, even under adverse climatic conditions that offer opportunities for overseas entrepreneurs to expand export and import of poultry products on a large scale.
 
The average per capita poultry meat consumption is also estimated to increase from 0.69 to 1.28 kilograms, during the 2000-2004. Overall, analysts studies that the total egg consumption is estimated to increase from 34 billion in 2000 and to 106 billion in 2020, while poultry meat consumption is predicted to increase from 687 million kilograms to 1,674 million kilograms.
 
The market research report "Vision for Indian Poultry Industry: Current Scenario and Future Prospects" predicts a relatively strong growth for the egg and poultry meat industry, in both the urban and rural areas, in the next two decades. It has been found that egg consumption has grown at a much faster pace, than the consumption of poultry meat. With the continual rise in income, it is estimated to nearly triple by 2020.
 
The report also examines the consumption pattern of egg and poultry meat for 2010 by taking into account urbanization and differences in consumption patterns across various income groups, both in urban and rural areas. The report deals in detail with the market structure, as well as highlights the production, consumption, import/export statistics etc., of the Indian poultry market, including broilers and processed poultry.
 
 REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
    
 - Assesses recent trends in Indian poultry production and consumption.
 - Growth in India’s poultry sector relative to other countries.
 - Economic factors affecting food demand, including population, income, and urbanization.
 - Consumption shares of poultry products.
 - Gains in real per capita incomes and changes in poultry prices.
 - Religion and regional preferences for poultry products.
 - Structure and costs of production in the Indian poultry meat industry from region to region.
 - Poultry production practices by geographic regions like facilities and equipment, breeding and feeding practices.
 - Foreign direct investment inflow (FDI) in poultry inputs.
 - Policies affecting market integration and feed trade, key to future growth.
 - Performance indicators and variable costs for poultry in India, according to region.
 - Marketing practices in Indian poultry industry.
 - Regional variations in retail prices and margins.
 - Tariff levels, regulatory barriers, and import potentials in the Indian poultry sector.
 - Trends in supply and demand for key broiler feeds, corn, and soy meal.
 - Key factors behind the recent growth of the Indian poultry sector.
 - Impact of increase in income, integration, and corn free trade on the Indian poultry sector.
 
 REPORT FEATURES
 
This report assesses the supply/demand structure, and policy factors affecting the growth of the Indian poultry industry. The objectives of the report are twofold: to gain a better understanding of the prospects for the poultry industry, in one of the world’s largest and fastest growing developing economies, and to take advantage of the information developed on India’s diverse sector, to arrive at the implications for growth prospects in the poultry sectors, in other developing countries. To help meet these objectives, this report analyzes the impacts of alternate economic, technical, and policy assumptions on poultry supply and demand prospects and the implications for the feed trade.
 
Chapters 2 and 3 focus on the Indian poultry industry and the recent trends in supply and demand. Chapters 4 and 5 talk about the Indian poultry structure and consumer demands and preferences. Chapter 6 concerns the marketing practices and trade policies in the Indian poultry industry. Chapter 7 talks about the feed supply and demand by composition, production, price trends, and trade policy. Chapter 8 gives a brief poultry profile of Indian states, while chapter 9 gives the prospects for the Indian poultry industry till 2010. Chapter 10 and 11 talk about the SWOT analysis and recent developments in the Indian poultry industry.

目录及图表

1.   Executive Summary 
 
2.   Introduction 
 
3.   Recent Trends in Indian Poultry Supply and Demand 
 
4.   Consumer Demand and Preferences
4.1    Income and Price Sensitivity of Demand  
4.1.1 Income Growth and Poultry Meat Demand: A Cross-Country Comparison   
4.2    Regional Demand Patterns
4.3    Substitutes and Complements
4.4    Preferences for Dark and White Meat
4.5    Seasonality in Demand 
 
5.   Poultry Production: Structure and Performance
5.1   Role of Integrated Poultry Production
5.2    Poultry Breeds
5.3    Poultry Production Practices
5.4   Performance and Production Cost by Region   
5.4.1 Variable Production Cost by Region
5.4.2 Fixed Production Cost by Region
 
6.   Marketing and Prices
6.1    Live-Bird Preference
6.2    Processed Poultry Demand
6.3    Poultry Processing
6.4    Farm Price Determination
6.5   Farmer Compensation under Integration
6.6    Regional Variations in Retail Prices and Margins
6.7    Integration Leads to Lower Costs and Margins
6.8    Poultry Trade Policy and Import Potential 
 
7.   Feed Supply and Demand
7.1    By Composition
7.2    By Production and Consumption Trends
7.3    By Price Trends
7.4    By Trade Policy 
 
8.   Poultry Profile of Indian States
8.1    Andaman & Nicobar Islands
8.2    Andhra Pradesh
8.3    Arunachal Pradesh
8.4    Assam
8.5    Bihar
8.6    Delhi
8.7    Goa
8.8    Gujarat
8.9    Jammu and Kashmir
8.10   Jharkhand
8.11    Karnataka
8.12    Kerala
8.13     Lakshadweep
8.14    Madhya Pradesh
8.15      Manipur
8.16      Meghalaya
8.17      Nagaland
8.18      Orissa
8.19      Punjab
8.20      Sikkim
8.21    Tamil Nadu
8.22      Tripura
8.23      Uttar Pradesh
8.24      West Bengal
8.25      Daman and Diu
8.26      Pondicherry 
 
9.   Prospects for India’s Poultry Sector, 2010
9.1    Income Growth
9.2    Poultry Integration
9.3    Corn Trade Liberalization
9.4    Integration and Corn Trade Liberalization 
 
10. Indian Poultry Industry — SWOT Analysis
 
11. Recent Issues and Current Developments in the Industry 
 
12. Conclusion

Figure 4-1: India - Meat Consumption Share (%)
Figure 4-2: India - Region-wise Population and Income
Figure 5-1: India - Variable Poultry Production Cost by Region (%)
Figure 5-2: India - Fixed Poultry Production Cost by Region
Figure 6-1: India - Average Producer Price Margins for Poultry by Region
Figure 6-2: India - Average Producer Retail Margins for Poultry by Region
Figure 7-1: India - Feed-use Share of Domestic Production (%), 2002
Figure 7-2: India - Supply and Use of Corn (Million Ton), 2002
Figure 7-3: India - Supply and Use of Soybean Meal (Million Ton), 2001
Figure 7-4: India - Trends in Poultry and Corn Prices, 2000
Figure 8-1: Tamil Nadu - Egg Production & Per Capita Availability (1983-84, 1993-94, 1998-99, 2002-03 & 2003-04)
Figure 9-1: Poultry Production and Consumption (Million Ton), 2001-2010
Figure 9-2: Egg Production and Consumption (Billion Egg), 2001-2010
Figure 9-3: Poultry Retail Prices (Rs/Kg), 2001-2010
Figure 9-4: Egg Retail Prices (Rs/Egg), 2001-2010
Figure 9-5: Corn Import (Million Ton), 2001-2010
Figure 9-6: Soybean Meal Export (Million Ton), 2001-2010
Figure 9-7: Poultry Cost of Production (%), 2010
Figure 9-8: Poultry Retail Price by Scenario (%), 2010
Figure 10-1: Beneficiary Perception Mapping

 
 List of Tables:
 
Table 3-1: India - Poultry Industry Statistics         
Table 4-1: India - Trends in Animal Product Consumption  
Table 4-2: Worldwide Growth Rate of Poultry Production and Consumption (%)    
Table 5-1: India - Growth Rate of Poultry Production (1980-2002)  
Table 5-2: India - Wholesale Price and Income Growth          
Table 5-3: India - Average Day Old Chick Cost (Rs/Bird)
Table 5-4: India - Synopsis of Performance Indicators and Variable Costs for Poultry by Region
Table 5-5: India - Synopsis of Fixed Cost of Production for Poultry by Region
Table 6-1: India - Retail Price of Poultry on the basis of Dressed-weight (Rs/Kg)          
Table 7-1: India - Trends in Corn Supply and Use          
Table 7-2: India - Trends in Soybean and Soybean Meal Supply and Use          
Table 7-3: India - Domestic and Import Parity Price of Corn  
Table 8-1: Tamil Nadu - Season-wise Production of Milk, Egg & Meat  
Table 8-2: Tripura - Poultry Pockets          
Table 8-3: Uttar Pradesh - Food Processing Projects          
Table 9-1: Major Indian Poultry Sector Issues and Analytical Assumptions   
Table 9-2: India - Selected Results of Poultry-feed Sector Analysis, 2010