发布时间：2008.6

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摘要

The retail sector in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) continues to grow rapidly with future CAGR expected at around 12%. The increasing household consumption, affluent population, and booming service industry (including tourism, banking and trading sectors) are propelling growth into the nation’s retail industry. Also, the modern shopping malls anchoring state-of-the-art hypermarkets and various shopping events like Dubai Shopping Festival make the country a more lucrative destination for retail industry, according to "Booming Retail Sector in UAE”, a market research report by RNCOS.

The report provides extensive research and rational analysis on various aspects of the UAE retail industry and underlines the key issues related to the industry. The overview on opportunities and future forecast will help the clients analyze the future course of direction and major growth areas of the industry.

Key Findings

§ Increasing population and rising per head household consumption will remain one of the key drivers for the growth of retail industry in the UAE.
§ Shopping events in Dubai (like DSS and DSF) and Dubai Duty Free (DDF) are the major contributor in the UAE’s retail industry, with retail sales in DDF accounted for more than 9% of total retail sales in the country in 2007.
§ Food sector offers a glut of opportunities as the UAE imported around 80% of the food items in 2007.
§ Growing retail industry will create plethora of opportunities for RFID, CCTV and credit card market in the country.
§ The cosmetics and personnel care market in the UAE has grown considerably and will continue to grow at over 8% per year in near future.

Key Issues & Facts

§ What is the current status of the retail industry in the UAE?
§ What are the factors fueling growth in the UAE retail industry?
§ What are the future prospects of the retail industry in the UAE?
§ Which is the most flourishing sector in the UAE’s retail industry?
§ What are the emerging areas for the industry?
§ Who are the major players in the UAE retail industry?

Key Players

This section briefs on the key players operating in the UAE retail industry, including Carrefour, EMKE Group, Spinneys Dubai LLC, Al Azizia Panda United Inc., Consumer Co-op UAE and T Choithram & Sons LLC.

Research Methodology

Information Sources
Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

目录及图表

1. Analyst View
2. Macroeconomic View of Arab World
3. UAE - Economic Analysis & Driving Forces
     3.1 Real Estate
     3.2 Travel, Tourism & Transport
     3.3 Shopping Events
     3.4 Dubai Duty Free (DDF)
     3.5 Population
     3.6 Household Consumption
4. Market Performance
     4.1 Retail Sector Analysis
            4.1.1 Food & Beverages
            4.1.2 Apparel
            4.1.3 Cosmetics & Personal Care
            4.1.4 Computers
            4.1.5 Air Conditioning Equipments
            4.1.6 Consumer Electronics
     4.2 Retail Formats
            4.2.1 MGR (Mass Grocery Retail)
            4.2.2 Malls
5. New Vistas
     5.1 Direct Sales
     5.2 Advertising Market
     5.3 Private Labels
     5.4 Online Retailing
     5.5 Retail Management Courses
     5.6 RFID in Retail
     5.7 CCTV in Retail
     5.8 Credit Card Market
     5.9 Food Exporters
6. Challenges
     6.1 Inflation
     6.2 Staffing
     6.3 Counterfeit Products
     6.4 Competition
     6.5 Tourism-dependent Retail
7. RNCOS’ Future Forecast for Retail Industry
     7.1 Food Retail
     7.2 Cosmetics & Personal Care
     7.3 PC
     7.4 Air Conditioning Equipment
8. Key Players
     8.1 Carrefour
     8.2 EMKE Group
     8.3 Consumer Co-op UAE
     8.4 Spinneys Dubai LLC
     8.5 T Choithram & Sons LLC
     8.6 Al Azizia Panda United Inc.

List of Figures:

Figure 3-1: UAE - GDP at Current Prices by Sector (%), 2006
Figure 3-2: UAE - Forecast for Real GDP Growth (%), 2008-2011
Figure 3-3: UAE - Private Consumption* (in Billion AED), 2002-2007E
Figure 3-4: UAE - Forecast for Private Consumption (in Billion AED), 2008-2011
Figure 3-5: UAE - Projects under Construction (in Billion AED), Mar 2006 & Mar 2007E
Figure 3-6: UAE - Tourist Arrivals (in Million), 2007E & 2016F
Figure 3-7: Dubai - Retail Sales during DDF (in Million US$), 2006 & 2007
Figure 3-8: UAE - Forecast for Population (in Million), 2008-2012
Figure 3-9: UAE - Per Head Household Consumption (in ‘000 US$), 2006 & 2007E
Figure 3-10: UAE - Forecast for Per Head Household Consumption (in ‘000 US$), 2008-2011
Figure 4-1: UAE - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007*-2011F
Figure 4-2: Dubai - Share of Organized Retail in GCC Retail Market (%), 2006
Figure 4-3: UAE - Share of Gross Leasable Area in GCC (%), 2007E & 2010F
Figure 4-4: Dubai - Gross Leasable Area (in Million Sq Meter), 2006 & 2010F
Figure 4-5: Abu Dhabi – Retail Market by Upcoming Retail Locations (%)
Figure 4-6: UAE, Dubai, Abu Dhabi & Sharjah - Forecast for Retail Spending (in Billion US$), 2009
Figure 4-7: UAE - Food Service Market* (in Billion AED), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-8: Dubai - Textile Import (in Billion US$), 2002-2007E
Figure 4-9: UAE - Cosmetics & Personal Care Market (in Million US$), 2005-2007E
Figure 4-10: UAE - PC Installation Base (in Million Units), 2002-2007E
Figure 4-11: UAE - PC Shipment (in ‘000 Units), Q3 2006 & Q3 2007
Figure 4-12: UAE - Air Conditioning Market by Major Sub-sectors (%), 2005E
Figure 4-13: UAE - Retail Sales by Format (in Billion US$), 2001-2012F
Figure 4-14: Dubai - Malls (in Number), 2005 & 2008F
Figure 5-1: UAE - Advertising Expenditure (in Billion US$), 2005-2007
Figure 5-2: UAE - Internet Penetration* (%), 2002-2007
Figure 5-3: UAE - Forecast for Internet Penetration (%), 2008 & 2010
Figure 5-4: UAE - Safety & Security Market (in Million US$), 2005-2010F
Figure 6-1: UAE - Inflation in Food Prices (%), 2007 & 2008F
Figure 7-1: UAE - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2008-2011
Figure 7-2: UAE - Forecast for Cosmetics & Personal Care Market (in Million US$), 2008-2012
Figure 7-3: UAE - Forecast for PC Installation Base (in Million), 2008-2012
Figure 7-4: UAE - Forecast for Air Conditioning Market (in Million US$), 2008-2012
Figure 8-1: UAE - Top 10 Retailers by Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2007E
Figure 8-2: Carrefour - Number of Stores & Sales Area (in ‘000 Sq Meter), 2004-2007E
Figure 8-3: EMKE Group - Number of Stores & Sales Area (in ‘000 Sq Meter), 2004-2007E
Figure 8-4: Spinneys - Number of Stores & Sales Area (in ‘000 Sq Meter), 2004-2007E

List of Table:

Table 2-1: GCC - Per Capita GDP* by Country (in US$), 2001-2007
Table 2-2: GCC - Population by Country (in Million), 2001-2007
Table 3-1: UAE - GDP at Current Prices (in Billion AED), 2001-2007
Table 3-2: UAE - Per Capita GDP by Emirate (in AED), 2000-2006
Table 3-3: UAE - Population by Emirate (in ‘000), 2001-2007E
Table 4-1: Global - Top 15 Countries by Proportion of International Retailers Trading
Table 4-2: UAE - Air Conditioning Market (in Million US$), 2001-2007E
Table 4-3: Dubai - Electronics Goods Sales by Category (in Million AED), 2004-2006E
Table 4-4: UAE - Retail Format by Store Count (2003 & 2006E)
Table 4-5: Global - Top 10 Largest Malls by GLA (in ‘000 Sq Meter)