Opportunities in Retail Sector - China (2007-2011)

发布时间：2007.8

摘要

"Opportunities in Retail Sector - China (2007-2011)”, a report by RNCOS, provides extensive research and rational analysis on the retail industry in China. This report helps clients to analyse the opportunities and factors critical to the success of retail industry in the country. It underlines the key issues the industry is facing and provides a prudent analysis on its various aspects.

The report analyses various market segments and retail formats present in the industry. The overview on opportunities and future forecast helps the clients analyse the future course of direction and major growth areas of the industry.

Market Analysis

Retail is one of the major industries in the world. It has played a key role in improving the world's productivity and has been a major contributor to the economic growth of developing countries. In 2006, total sales of retail industry across the world are expected to have reached the phenomenal value of around US$ 12.1 Trillion. China retail industry is third largest emerging retail markets in the world and in past, the market has forged ahead with the CAGR of 12.38%. The booming economy, increasing income levels, deregulation of retail sector and increased confidence of Chinese consumer makes china a lucrative market for international retail players.

Key Findings

§ Hypermarkets will have the highest growth potential among different store formats.
§ Cosmetics and toiletries, apparel, furniture, washing machines and computers will be the top five fastest growing categories in the forecasted period.
§ Organic food sales will remain buoyant in the coming years. It is expected that the organic food turnover will be US$ 400 Million by 2007.
§ Per head disposable income will increase with the CAGR of 11.52% during the forecasted period and will give thrust to the overall retail industry.

Key Issues Analysed
The research report addresses some vital issues critical to the success of retail industry in China, like:

§ The market size and scope of the retail industry.
§ Evaluation of current market trends.
§ Analysis of various challenges and opportunities for the industry.
§ The factors driving growth in this sector.
§ Various retailing formats in China retail industry.
§ Detailed discussion of consumer behaviour.
§ Market position of key players in this sector.

Key Players Analysed

This section covers the key players currently operating in the China retail industry, including Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Carrefour SA, Wumart Stores, Inc., Shanghai Bailian Group Co. Ltd., etc.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
Information in the report has been taken from various authentic sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting and cause and effect analysis.

目录及图表

1. Analyst View
2. Industry Overview
      2.1 Global Retail Sales
              2.1.1 By Geographical Regions
      2.2 Emerging Retail Markets
      2.3 China Retail Industry
              2.3.1 Retail Sales
3. Performance of China Retail Industry
      3.1 By Composition
              3.1.1 Food Retail Sales
              3.1.2 Food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.1.3 Non-Food Retail Sales
              3.1.4 Non-Food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
      3.2 Non-Food Retail Sales - By Segment
              3.2.1 Clothing Retail Sales
              3.2.2 Clothing Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.3 Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales
              3.2.4 Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales Forecast  (2007-2011)
              3.2.5 Furniture Retail Sales
              3.2.6 Furniture Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.7 Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales
              3.2.8 Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.9 Television Sets Retail Sales Volume
              3.2.10 Television Sets Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.11 Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume
              3.2.12 Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.13 Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume
              3.2.14 Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
              3.2.15 Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume
              3.2.16 Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume Forecast (2007-2011)
      3.3 By Retail Format
              3.3.1 Hypermarkets
              3.3.2 Supermarkets
              3.3.3 Convenience Stores
              3.3.4 Traditional Markets
              3.3.5 Retail Sales Forecast - By Format (2008)
4. Understanding the Chinese Consumer
      4.1 Income/Buying Power
      4.2 Average Household Spending Patterns
      4.3 Lifestyle/Shopping Habits
      4.4 Brand/Price Sensitivity
      4.5 Preferred Shopping Partner
5. Industry Analysis
      5.1 Drivers
              5.1.1 WTO Accession
              5.1.2 Personal Disposable Income
              5.1.3 Deregulation of Retail Sector
              5.1.4 Population Growth
              5.1.5 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
              5.1.6 Change in Urban & Rural Proportion
              5.1.7 High Consumer Confidence
              5.1.8 Young Chinese Consumers
      5.2 Opportunities
              5.2.1 Organic Food & Beverages
              5.2.2 Non-Food Retail Products
              5.2.3 Packaged, Processed & Ready-to-eat Products
              5.2.4 Tourism & Western Style Food Outlets
              5.2.5 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
              5.2.6 Luxury Goods
              5.2.7 Convenience Stores
              5.2.8 Packaged & Frozen Foods with Long Shelf-life
              5.2.9 Suppliers & Retailers
              5.2.10 Private Labels
              5.2.11 European Producers
              5.2.12 Sourcing
              5.2.13 Branded Products
              5.2.14 Potential Areas
      5.3 Challenges
              5.3.1 Domestic Retailers
              5.3.2 Industrial Policy
              5.3.3 Anti-trust Policy
              5.3.4 Dangerous Products
              5.3.5 Supply Chain
              5.3.6 Finding Good Staff
              5.3.7 Counterfeiting & Piracy
      5.4 Emerging Trends
              5.4.1 Moving away from the Coast
              5.4.2 Going Alone or Partnering?
              5.4.3 Coming In & Going Out
              5.4.4 Consolidation & Alliance
              5.4.5 Localisation & Blending
              5.4.6 Diversification & Differentiation
      5.5 Future Development Scenario
              5.5.1 Scenario 1
              5.5.2 Scenario 2
6. Key Players
      6.1 Carrefour SA
      6.2 Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
      6.3 Wumart Stores, Inc.
      6.4 Dashang Group Company Ltd.
      6.5 Shanghai Bailian Group Co., Ltd.

List of Figures:

Figure 2-1: Worldwide - Retail Sales (in Trillion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 2-2: Worldwide - Retail Sales by Geographical Region (in Trillion US$), 2006E
Figure 2-3: China - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-1: China - Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-2: China - Relative Consumption of Selected Food Products by Income Group (%), 2003
Figure 3-3: China - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-4: China - Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-5: China - Forecast for Non-Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-6: China - Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-7: China - Apparel Production by Segment (in Million Pieces), Jan-Feb 2006 & Jan-Feb 2007
Figure 3-8: China - Forecast for Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-9: China - Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-10: China - Forecast for Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-11: China - Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-12: China - Forecast for Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-13: China - Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-14: China - Forecast for Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 3-15: China - Television Sets Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-16: China Mainland - Flat Screen TV Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2006 & 1H 2007
Figure 3-17: China - Forecast for Television Sets Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
Figure 3-18: China - Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-19: China - Forecast for Personal Computers Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
Figure 3-20: China - Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-21: China - Forecast for Refrigerators Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
Figure 3-22: China - Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-23: China - Forecast for Washing Machines Retail Sales Volume (in Million Units), 2007-2011
Figure 3-24: China - Forecast for Retail Sales Share by Retail Format (%), 2010
Figure 3-25: China - Retail Sales Share by Format (%), 1998, 2005 & 2008F
Figure 4-1: China - Composition of Average Household Expenditure (%), 1999 & 2005
Figure 4-2: China - Preferred Shopping Partner (%), 2005
Figure 5-1: China - Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 5-2: China - Population (in Billion), 2001-2006
Figure 5-3: China - Urban & Rural Population Split (%), 1985 & 2005E
Figure 5-4: Asia-Pacific - Consumer Confidence Index (in Points), 2H 2006E
Figure 5-5: China - Population Breakup (%), 2006
Figure 5-6: China - Organic Farmland Share in Total Farmland (%), 2006
Figure 5-7: China - Consumer Expenditure on Healthy & Organic Food (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2015F
Figure 5-8: China - Forecast for Per Head Personal Disposable Income (in US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-9: China - Middle Class Population (in Million), 2005-06 & 2025F
Figure 5-10: China - Tourists Arrival (in Million), 2003-2006 & 2010F
Figure 5-11: China - FDI Inflow (in Billion US$), 2002 & 2006-2010F
Figure 5-12: China - Forecast for GDP (%), 2007-2011
Figure 5-13: China - Empty Nesters Share in Total Households (%), 2005 & 2015F
Figure 5-14: China - Urban Population (%), 2005 & 2015F
Figure 5-15: China - Forecast for Potential Consumption in Tiers Cities (in Billion RMB), 2014
Figure 5-16: China - Sales of European Retailers in Comparison with Other Foreign Retailers (%), 2005*
Figure 5-17: China - Forecast of Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011

List of Tables:

Table 2-1: Worldwide - Top 10 Retailers by Net Sales (in Million US$), 2006
Table 2-2: China - Position in Top 10 Emerging Retail Markets (2006 & 2007)
Table 3-1: China - Number of Stores by Retail Store Format (2004 & 2005)
Table 3-2: China - Number of Hypermarkets by Major Players (2004 & 2005)
Table 3-3: China - Number of Supermarkets by Major Players (2004 & 2005)
Table 5-1: China - GDP (%), 2001-2006
Table 5-2: China - Forecast for Population Breakup (%), 2007-2011
Table 5-3: China - Selected M&A Transactions in Retail Industry (in Million US$), 2006
Table 6-1: Carrefour SA - Key Financials (2004-2006)
Table 6-2: Wal-Mart Stores Inc. - Key Financials (2005 & 2006)
Table 6-3: Wumart Stores, Inc. - Key Financials (2003-2005)
Table 6-4: Dashang Group Company Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006
Table 6-5: Shanghai Bailian Group Co., Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006